10549 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 10549 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10549, ~45% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10549 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10549 leans more Democratic than 41 of 63 neighbors.
Politically, 10549 sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 10549. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 10549 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10549, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 64% of adults in 10549 hold a bachelor's degree, about 35 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in 10549 is about 63%, below 74% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 10549, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 10549 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 10549 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.