10996 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 27% of adults in 10996 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 10996, ~17% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~72% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 10996 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 10996 leans more Democratic than 47 of 52 neighbors.
10996 runs about 10 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 10996 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 10996, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 79% of adults in 10996 hold a bachelor's degree, about 50 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in 10996 have never been married, above 98% of zip codes.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 10996, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 10996 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in 10996 rent, about 74 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 10996 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.