11418 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 39% of adults in 11418 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11418, ~22% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~61% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11418 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11418 leans more Democratic than 79 of 235 neighbors.
Politically, 11418 sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 11418. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+20) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 21 points.
Why 11418 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11418, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 11418 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in 11418 have never been married, above 82% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 11418, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 11418 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 11418 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 52% of households in 11418 rent, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in 11418 report food insecurity, above 89% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.