11964 leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 11964 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 11964, ~52% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 11964 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 11964 leans more Democratic than 16 of 19 neighbors.
11964 runs about 14 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why 11964 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 11964, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 61% of adults in 11964 hold a bachelor's degree, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 11964, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 11964 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 11964 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in 11964 own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.