12036 leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 12036 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12036, ~25% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12036 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12036 is the most Republican-leaning.
12036 runs about 48 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12036 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12036 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12036, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
12036 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12036 runs about 48 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 12036, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12036 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 12036 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in 12036 own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 12036 have completed high school, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.