12057 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 12057 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12057, ~30% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12057 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12057 leans more Republican than 5 of 11 neighbors.
12057 runs about 36 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12057 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12057 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12057, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in 12057 drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 12057 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 12057, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 12057 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in 12057 own their home, about 20 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.