12512 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 12512 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12512, ~29% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12512 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12512 leans more Democratic than 23 of 34 neighbors.
Politically, 12512 sits close to the rest of New York.
Why 12512 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12512, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 40% of adults in 12512 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in 12512 have never been married, above 85% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 12512, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12512 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 79% of households in 12512 rent, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in 12512 have completed high school, below 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.