12910 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 12910 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12910, ~20% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12910 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12910 leans more Republican than 8 of 10 neighbors.
12910 runs about 47 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 12910 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 12910 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12910, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in 12910 hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points below the New York average of 34%. 12910 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 12910, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 12910 looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 78% of adults in 12910 have completed high school, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.