13126 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 13126 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13126, ~29% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13126 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13126 leans more Republican than 1 of 7 neighbors.
13126 runs about 16 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13126 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 13126. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 50 points.
Why 13126 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13126, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
13126 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13126 runs about 16 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 13126, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 13126 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 36% of households in 13126 rent, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.