13450 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 13450 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13450, ~32% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13450 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13450 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 2 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 18 leaning the other way.
13450 runs about 15 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13450 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 13450. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 49 points.
Why 13450 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13450, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
13450 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13450 runs about 15 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 13450, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 13450 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 13450 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.