13638 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 13638 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 13638, ~26% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 13638 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 13638 leans more Republican than 6 of 16 neighbors.
13638 runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 13638 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 13638 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 13638, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 97% of residents in 13638 drive to work alone, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 74%. 13638 runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 13638, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 13638 looks the way it does
Turnout in 13638 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.