14616 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 14616 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14616, ~35% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14616 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14616 leans more Democratic than 9 of 37 neighbors.
14616 runs about 8 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 14616. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+11) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 14616 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 14616. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 14616, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 14616 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 14616 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 60% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.