14778 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 14778 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 14778, ~20% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 14778 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 14778 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 0 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 17 leaning the other way.
14778 runs about 15 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14778 sits closer to the political middle.
Why 14778 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 14778, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
14778 votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while 14778 runs about 15 points more Republican.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 14778, NY does.
Why turnout in 14778 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 38% of households in 14778 rent, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.