15419 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 15419 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 15419, ~29% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 15419 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 15419 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 79 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 2 leaning the other way.
Politically, 15419 sits close to the rest of Pennsylvania.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 15419. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 15419 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 15419. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 15419, PA does.
Why turnout in 15419 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 63% of households in 15419 rent, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.