15841 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 15841 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 15841, ~14% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 15841 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 15841 leans more Republican than 4 of 9 neighbors.
15841 runs about 49 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why 15841 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 15841, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 6% of residents in 15841 live in densely developed areas, about 27 points below the Pennsylvania average of 33%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 15841 fits that profile on both counts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 15841 are family households, above 80% of zip codes.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a high non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a lower rate; 15841, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 15841 looks the way it does
Turnout in 15841 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.