18438 leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 91% of adults in 18438 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 18438, ~33% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 18438 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 18438 leans more Republican than 3 of 19 neighbors.
18438 runs about 26 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 18438. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 18438 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 18438. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 18438, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 18438 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 18438 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 18438 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in 18438 have completed high school, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.