22211 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 46% of adults in 22211 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22211, ~30% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22211 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22211 leans more Democratic than 8 of 125 neighbors.
22211 runs about 26 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22211. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+32) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 22211 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22211, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 22211 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 22211 sits in the top quarter (about 41%, above 81% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 79% of adults in 22211 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 22211, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 22211 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in 22211 rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 22211 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.