22657 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 22657 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 22657, ~24% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 22657 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 22657 leans more Republican than 8 of 14 neighbors.
22657 runs about 48 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22657 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 22657. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 22657 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 22657, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
22657 votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 22657 runs about 48 points more Republican.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; 22657, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in 22657 looks the way it does
Turnout in 22657 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.