24128 is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 24128 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24128, ~16% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24128 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24128 leans more Republican than 10 of 15 neighbors.
24128 runs about 63 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24128 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 24128 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24128, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. 24128 sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the Virginia average of 73%. 24128 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 24128, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 24128 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 24128 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 24128 own their home, compared to around 71% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.