24474 is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 24474 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 24474, ~13% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 24474 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 24474 leans more Republican than 4 of 6 neighbors.
24474 runs about 63 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while 24474 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 24474 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 24474, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 4% of adults in 24474 hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 91% of residents in 24474 drive to work alone, above 97% of zip codes. 24474 runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with low high-school-completion share tend to turn out at a lower rate; 24474, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 24474 looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 74% of adults in 24474 have completed high school, about 16 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.