28207 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 91% of adults in 28207 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 28207, ~53% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 28207 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 28207 leans more Democratic than 14 of 35 neighbors.
28207 runs about 19 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while 28207 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 28207. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 38 points.
Why 28207 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 28207, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 86% of adults in 28207 hold a bachelor's degree, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 28207 sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, above 97% of zip codes). 28207 runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 28207, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 28207 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 28207 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 28207 have completed high school, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.