32227 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 38% of adults in 32227 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32227, ~16% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32227 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32227 leans more Republican than 8 of 15 neighbors.
Politically, 32227 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Why 32227 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32227, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 88% of households in 32227 are family households, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 32227, FL does.
Why turnout in 32227 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 32227 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 88% of households in 32227 rent, compared to around 40% in nearby zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 32227 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.