33043 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 33043 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33043, ~28% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33043 compares
33043 runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33043. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 33043 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 33043. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 33043, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 33043 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in 33043 have completed high school, about 8 points above the Florida average of 89%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 33043 own their home, compared to around 67% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.