33486 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 33486 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33486, ~38% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33486 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33486 leans more Republican than 37 of 42 neighbors.
33486 runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33486. The east side is the most split-leaning (R+16) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 33486 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33486, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
33486 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 97%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 33486, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 33486 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in 33486 have completed high school, about 8 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.