33841 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 33841 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33841, ~19% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33841 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33841 leans more Republican than 1 of 6 neighbors.
33841 runs about 21 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 33841. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 47 points.
Why 33841 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33841, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in 33841 hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points below the Florida average of 31%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 33841, FL does.
Why turnout in 33841 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 33841 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 10 points below the Florida average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in 33841 have completed high school, below 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.