33924 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 79% of adults in 33924 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 33924, ~26% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 33924 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 33924 leans more Republican than 4 of 7 neighbors.
33924 runs about 21 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 33924 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 33924, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in 33924 are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 33924 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 89% of zip codes).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 33924, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 33924 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in 33924 own their home, about 29 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 33924 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.