38703 is a Democratic stronghold. About 85% of voters here vote Democratic and 15% Republican.
About 66% of adults in 38703 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38703, ~56% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38703 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38703 leans more Democratic than 6 of 7 neighbors.
38703 runs about 93 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 38703 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38703. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+81) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+2), a spread of about 79 points.
Why 38703 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38703, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in 38703 is about 15%, about 57 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in 38703 have never been married, above 91% of zip codes. 38703 runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 38703, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 38703 looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 38703 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.