39531 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 51% of adults in 39531 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 39531, ~23% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 39531 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 39531 leans more Republican than 2 of 9 neighbors.
39531 runs about 16 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 39531. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 39531 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 39531, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
39531 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 85%, far above the Mississippi average of 15%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 39531, MS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 39531 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 63% of households in 39531 rent, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 39531 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.