45015 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 57% of adults in 45015 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45015, ~22% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45015 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45015 leans more Republican than 24 of 36 neighbors.
45015 runs about 13 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 45015. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+35), a spread of about 42 points.
Why 45015 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 45015, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
45015 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 92%, far above the Ohio average of 34%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 45015 sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 87% of zip codes).
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 45015, OH does.
Why turnout in 45015 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 45015 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in 45015 rent, compared to around 25% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in 45015 report food insecurity, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.