49417 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 94% of adults in 49417 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49417, ~42% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49417 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49417 leans more Republican than 7 of 12 neighbors.
49417 runs about 9 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 49417. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+23), a spread of about 32 points.
Why 49417 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49417, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
49417 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 61%, well above the Michigan average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 49417, MI does.
Why turnout in 49417 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49417 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in 49417 have completed high school, above 83% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.