49611 leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 49611 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49611, ~24% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49611 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49611 is the most Republican-leaning.
49611 runs about 40 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 49611 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49611, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. 49611 sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 12 points above the Michigan average of 83%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 49611, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 49611 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49611 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 89% of households in 49611 own their home, above 85% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.