49802 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in 49802 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49802, ~42% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~-2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49802 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49802 is the least Republican-leaning.
49802 runs about 18 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 49802 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49802, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
49802 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 66%, far above the Michigan average of 31%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 49802, MI does.
Why turnout in 49802 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49802 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 49802 have completed high school, above 93% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.