49849 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 49849 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49849, ~37% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49849 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49849 leans more Republican than 2 of 4 neighbors.
49849 runs about 11 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 49849. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+28) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 49849 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 49849. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 49849, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 49849 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49849 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.