49874 leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 49874 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49874, ~21% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49874 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49874 leans more Republican than 6 of 8 neighbors.
49874 runs about 43 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 49874 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49874, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 49874, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Michigan average of 26%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 49874, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 49874 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49874 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 49874 own their home, above 81% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.