49948 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 54% of adults in 49948 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49948, ~21% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49948 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49948 leans more Republican than 1 of 4 neighbors.
49948 runs about 24 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 49948 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49948, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. 49948 sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 11 points above the Michigan average of 83%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 49948, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 49948 looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. 49948 sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 49948 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.