54149 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 76% of adults in 54149 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 54149, ~25% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 54149 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 54149 leans more Republican than 2 of 4 neighbors.
54149 runs about 32 points more Republican than Wisconsin as a whole.
Why 54149 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 54149, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 54149, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Wisconsin average of 26%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 54149 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 87% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 54149, WI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 54149 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 54149 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in 54149 own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.