55954 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 83% of adults in 55954 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 55954, ~29% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 55954 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 55954 leans more Republican than 2 of 6 neighbors.
55954 runs about 34 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while 55954 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 55954 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 55954, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 55954, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Minnesota average of 28%. 55954 runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 55954, MN sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 55954 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 55954 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 88% of households in 55954 own their home, above 80% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.