58415 is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 58415 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58415, ~16% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58415 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58415 leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
58415 runs about 22 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Why 58415 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58415, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. 58415 sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 10 points above the North Dakota average of 87%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 58415 are family households, above 77% of zip codes.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 58415, ND does.
Why turnout in 58415 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 89% of households in 58415 own their home, about 10 points above the North Dakota average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.