64451 is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 71% of adults in 64451 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 64451, ~12% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 64451 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 64451 leans more Republican than 5 of 8 neighbors.
64451 runs about 47 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why 64451 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 64451, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In 64451, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 11% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; 64451, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 64451 looks the way it does
Turnout in 64451 sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.