71851 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 71851 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 71851, ~33% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 71851 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 71851 is the most Democratic-leaning.
71851 runs about 43 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while 71851 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 71851. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+28) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+45), a spread of about 73 points.
Why 71851 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 71851, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
71851 votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while 71851 runs about 43 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 71851, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 71851 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 71851 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.