77454 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 77454 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 77454, ~43% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 77454 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 77454 leans more Democratic than 7 of 9 neighbors.
77454 runs about 24 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while 77454 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 77454 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 77454, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 50% of residents in 77454 are Black or African American, about 44 points above the Texas average of 7%. 77454 runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 77454, TX does.
Why turnout in 77454 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in 77454 own their home, about 25 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 77454 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.