78719 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 78719 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 78719, ~27% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 78719 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 78719 leans more Democratic than 4 of 30 neighbors.
78719 runs about 29 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while 78719 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 78719. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 78719 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 78719, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
78719 votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while 78719 runs about 29 points more Democratic.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 78719, TX does.
Why turnout in 78719 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 78719 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 64% of adults in 78719 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.