78945 leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 75% of adults in 78945 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 78945, ~19% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 78945 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 78945 is the least Republican-leaning.
78945 runs about 36 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 78945. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 29 points.
Why 78945 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 78945, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 83% of residents in 78945 drive to work alone, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 78945, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 78945 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 78945 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.