83844 leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 83844 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 83844, ~26% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 83844 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 83844 leans more Democratic than 8 of 10 neighbors.
83844 runs about 60 points more Democratic than Idaho as a whole. Idaho leans Republican overall, while 83844 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why 83844 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 83844, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in 83844 hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 93% of adults in 83844 have never been married, in the top fraction of zip codes. 83844 runs against the grain of Idaho, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 83844, ID sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 83844 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 60% of households in 83844 rent, about 36 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 10% of homes in 83844 have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.