83874 is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 83874 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 83874, ~14% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 83874 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 83874 is the most Republican-leaning.
83874 runs about 27 points more Republican than Idaho as a whole.
Why 83874 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 83874, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in 83874 hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Idaho average of 26%. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in 83874 is about 95%, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 71%).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 83874, ID sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 83874 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in 83874 own their home, about 14 points above the Idaho average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.