84054 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 68% of adults in 84054 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 84054, ~32% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 84054 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 84054 leans more Republican than 25 of 31 neighbors.
84054 runs about 16 points more Democratic than Utah as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 84054. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 84054 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 84054, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
84054 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 91%, far above the Utah average of 32%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in 84054 are family households, above 90% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 84054, UT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 84054 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 84054 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.