85742 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 81% of adults in 85742 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85742, ~40% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85742 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85742 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 16 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 5 leaning the other way.
Politically, 85742 sits close to the rest of Arizona.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85742. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+12), a spread of about 15 points.
Why 85742 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 85742. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; 85742, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 85742 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in 85742 have completed high school, about 10 points above the Arizona average of 87%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.