87511 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 87511 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87511, ~35% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87511 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 87511 leans more Democratic than 2 of 12 neighbors.
87511 runs about 10 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why 87511 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 87511, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 38% of adults in 87511 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 27%).
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 87511, NM does.
Why turnout in 87511 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 87511 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 21%, about 5 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in 87511 report food insecurity, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.