88029 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 49% of adults in 88029 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 88029, ~18% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 88029 compares
88029 runs about 32 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88029 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 88029 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 88029, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in 88029 live in densely developed areas, about 16 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 88029 sits in the bottom quarter (about 6%, below 98% of zip codes). 88029 runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 88029, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 88029 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 88029 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 7 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 88029 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 55% of adults in 88029 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.