89004 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 89004 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 89004, ~16% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 89004 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 89004 is the most Republican-leaning.
89004 runs about 23 points more Republican than Nevada as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 89004. The west side is the most split-leaning (R+27) and the south side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 89004 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 89004, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in 89004 live in densely developed areas, about 43 points below the Nevada average of 44%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in 89004 are family households, above 87% of zip codes.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; 89004, NV sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 89004 looks the way it does
Turnout in 89004 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.